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Value Creation7 min read · Richard Gaubert

Enterprise Value Creation

Revenue gets a company noticed. Rigor gets it repriced. The multiple you sell at is decided years before the banker is hired.

EBITDA multiple premium for firms with mature operating rigor
Bain Global M&A Report, 2024
35%
of deal value lost in diligence when forecast quality is weak
PwC M&A Integration Survey, 2023
70%
of value-creation plans anchor on top-line growth
McKinsey Private Equity Report, 2024

Buyers pay for predictability · not potential

The single most consistent finding across a decade of M&A research is that predictable companies sell for more. Bain's most recent global M&A report puts the multiple premium at roughly 2× for firms with mature operating rigor versus peers of equivalent revenue. The delta is not the pitch deck. It's the forecast, the retention curve, and the operating cadence a buyer can inspect in a week.

That means enterprise value is engineered years before a process ever opens. The founders and operators who clear premium multiples are the ones who ran the business, from year one, the way an acquirer would want to inherit it.

The four inputs an acquirer actually underwrites

Revenue quality. Recurring, contracted, diversified. No customer over 15%, no cohort declining, gross retention above 90%. This is the number that sets the ceiling on the multiple.

Forecast integrity. Hitting the number is table stakes. Explaining why you hit it — with a bottoms-up model tied to pipeline, capacity, and conversion — is what closes the diligence gap without a discount.

Management depth. A leadership bench that can run the business without the founder in every meeting. Buyers pay for a team, not a personality.

Operating cadence and data. A weekly rhythm, instrumented metrics, and a data room that reflects how the business is actually run — not a project assembled the month before a process.

What compounds into multiple expansion

Small operating wins compound into large valuation swings. A 10-point lift in gross retention, an 18-month CAC payback instead of 30, a forecast accurate within 5% — each moves the multiple. Stack three or four of them and the same revenue is worth a materially different number.

The strongest value-creation plans I've helped operators run are boring on purpose. They pick the two or three levers a buyer will pay for, wire them into the operating cadence, and prove the trend line over four to eight quarters.

Operating Principles
  • 01Predictability is the multiple
  • 02Revenue quality beats revenue quantity
  • 03Engineer the exit · from year one
  • 04Boring numbers · executed relentlessly
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